{"id":972,"date":"2023-09-20T13:40:34","date_gmt":"2023-09-20T13:40:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/efimarkets.com\/blog\/?p=972"},"modified":"2023-09-20T13:43:23","modified_gmt":"2023-09-20T13:43:23","slug":"gbp-usd-gbp-aud-attempt-tepid-recovery-ahead-of-inflation-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/gbp-usd-gbp-aud-attempt-tepid-recovery-ahead-of-inflation-data\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, GBP\/AUD attempt tepid recovery ahead of inflation data"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"972\" class=\"elementor elementor-972\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2fdf48d1 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2fdf48d1\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-29e39dc5\" data-id=\"29e39dc5\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-449636ca elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"449636ca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.13.0 - 24-04-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-973\" src=\"https:\/\/efimarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/MicrosoftTeams-image-834-300x167.png\" alt=\"GBP\/USD\" width=\"450\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/MicrosoftTeams-image-834-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/MicrosoftTeams-image-834-1024x569.png 1024w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/MicrosoftTeams-image-834-768x427.png 768w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/MicrosoftTeams-image-834.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/>The BoE may have an even more difficult time if UK inflation figures come in strongly. GBP\/USD stays muted ahead of UK inflation data; GBP\/AUD continues its downward movement following China and Australia data that strengthen the Australian currency. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>BOE expectations and UK inflation <\/b>\u00a0GBP\/AUD<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The Bank of England (BoE) faces a greater difficulty than its competitor Central Banks because the UK continues to have the highest inflation rate when compared to the Euro Area and the US. Market investors are on edge as a result of this, as well as growing unemployment and a projected slowdown in GDP growth, since it appears probable that more rate rises may be required to see inflation decrease further. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The recent increase in inflation in the US and Canada as well as the increase in oil prices have given this viewpoint even more support. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>Uptick in the UK and the BoE MPC meeting \u00a0<\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The next inflation print, which arrives one day before the BoE MPC meeting, is all the more significant in light of the recent increase in UK average wages. An increase in headline inflation would intensify pressure on the Bank of England (BoE), especially in light of the ECB&#8217;s unexpected rate move last week. I had advocated strongly for the BoE to implement at least one further 25bps boost; if inflation picks up tomorrow, I may reconsider and suggest an additional 25bps hike before 2023 expires.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The recent increase in inflation in both the US and Canada is a result of the main <a href=\"http:\/\/efimarkets.com\/\">global economies<\/a>. At the beginning of the hiking cycle, Canada was the first and most active of the major Central Banks. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-976 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/efimarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1-1024x471.webp\" alt=\"Australian Data\" width=\"1024\" height=\"471\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1-1024x471.webp 1024w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1-300x138.webp 300w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1-768x353.webp 768w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1.webp 1111w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>Better Australian Data <\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Australian statistics have improved in response to the recent dip in the GBP. This has happened as Chinese authorities have stepped up their economic stimulus programmers. Despite the persistent problems in the real estate sector, the Chinese retail sales print did portray a slightly brighter image.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>China\u2019s Sentiment Cools<\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Markets were in danger of becoming chaotic due to the China situation, but since then, mood has improved. Initially, international fund managers sought to reduce their exposure to Chinese markets, but recent statistics indicate that this trend has been halted. This has resulted in recent gains for the Australian Dollar, which has contributed to the strong rebound of the GBP\/AUD pair so far in September.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-977 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/efimarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1024x473.webp\" alt=\"China \" width=\"1024\" height=\"473\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-1024x473.webp 1024w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-300x139.webp 300w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200-768x355.webp 768w, https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/rendition-1200.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>Technical Overview<\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This morning, GBPUSD tried to go towards the 200-day MA. The GBP\/USD gave up early session gains to trade essentially flat at the time of writing due to the DXY&#8217;s recovery in the US session. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Cable is currently down 700 or so pips from the top in July due to the recent decline in UK statistics, notably GDP. In my honest view, UK inflation is expected to pick up speed tomorrow, which might act as a trigger and propel cable back towards the 1.2500 handle. Before the psychological 1.2500 level comes into sight, the 200-day MA around the 1.2434 level will act as the initial point of resistance.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>Bottom Line<\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\" data-contrast=\"auto\">UK inflation and tomorrow&#8217;s Fed rate decision will make for an intriguing next two days for Cable. On Thursday, the BoE MPC decision will give us insights into GBPUSD&#8217;s Q4 direction, clarifying its potential path.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The BoE may have an even more difficult time if UK inflation figures come in strongly. GBP\/USD stays muted ahead of UK inflation data; GBP\/AUD continues its downward movement following China and Australia data that strengthen the Australian currency. \u00a0 BOE expectations and UK inflation \u00a0GBP\/AUD The Bank of England (BoE) faces a greater difficulty &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/bhimmarkets.com\/blog\/gbp-usd-gbp-aud-attempt-tepid-recovery-ahead-of-inflation-data\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">GBP\/USD, GBP\/AUD attempt tepid recovery ahead of inflation data<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[19,14],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>GBP USD, GBP\/AUD attempt tepid recovery ahead of inflation data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"GBP\/USD and GBP\/AUD show mild 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